World Economy

Singapore Outlook Rosier

Stronger growth has also been accompanied by a broadening  of the recovery across more industries.Stronger growth has also been accompanied by a broadening  of the recovery across more industries.

Singapore’s economic recovery is gathering pace due in part to a sustained increase in global electronics demand, the Monetary Authority of Singapore, or the country’s central bank, said Sunday.

While pockets of weakness remain in some sectors, growth is broadening beyond trade-related industries, with economic expansion expected to remain steady in the coming year, the central bank noted in its latest macroeconomic review, CNA reported.

Official forecasts tip economic growth of 2% to 3% this year. The final figure is expected to come in at the upper half of this range, before moderating slightly next year, MAS said.

The central bank struck a noticeably more optimistic note in its latest macroeconomic review, noting that steady growth in the global economy is likely to be sustained in the short term, amid more favorable business sentiment and tightening labor markets in developed economies.

Stronger trade growth in Asia since late last year has also led to a pickup in manufacturing activity and a rise in incomes.

In tandem with this rosier environment, Singapore’s economy has expanded by an average of 4.4% quarter on quarter in the second and third quarters–a turnaround from the contraction recorded in the first quarter of the year. The upswing was led mainly by trade-related sectors, which were in turn boosted by the continued strength in the global electronics cycle.

At the same time, stronger growth has also been accompanied by a broadening of the recovery across more industries. Some of the strength in electronics production should carry over into next year, but growth is expected to moderate in the quarters ahead, the central bank said.

Meanwhile, industry segments such as financial services and retail are expected to benefit from the improvement in the overall business climate, as well as underlying strength in regional trade and growth.

This means growth should become less patchy across sectors in the coming months, MAS said. Some segments are still struggling, however, including marine and offshore engineering as well as construction.

CIMB Private Bank economist Song Seng Wun said the central bank appears more positive about the economic outlook compared with a year ago, back when the world was still reeling from the impact of Brexit and the election of Donald Trump as the US president.

“On the whole, the economy has done better than expected, but we remain cautiously optimistic and mindful of the downside risks.”

Still, there are indications that sentiment is indeed picking up: The job market, for instance, is showing signs of emerging from the doldrums, with a lower overall unemployment rate in the third quarter and no increase in retrenchments, according to manpower ministry data on Friday.

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