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Americans Will Reject Bolton’s Anti-JCPOA Plan

Americans Will Reject Bolton’s Anti-JCPOA PlanAmericans Will Reject Bolton’s Anti-JCPOA Plan

The foreign minister said the plan proposed by a former US diplomat on how to pull the US out of the Iran nuclear deal is doomed, as such policies have already proven to be ineffective and will never be welcomed by the American society.

"I believe the American people are aware that such policies advocated by Bolton and the likes of him are a failure, so ears are shut to such proposals in the US," Mohammad Javad Zarif also told Fars News Agency on Wednesday.

Former US ambassador to the United Nations and uber-hawk John Bolton said former White House chief strategist, Steve Bannon, had asked him to draw up a plan for how to withdraw from the Iran deal in July.

But after the White House ejected Bannon in August, Bolton lost access to the administration and his plan not made it to Trump's desk, Vox news website reported.

Now he has decided to publish his plan publicly.

"Definitely, the international community will also react, even more strongly, to the Americans and the pursuit of such policies would only lead to the further isolation of the United States and will not bring anything good for them," Zarif said.

***PR Drive

The five-page memo is basically a strategic public relations campaign to convince the world that the US has a case for pulling out of the 2015 deal.

That case hinges on one central claim: that Iran is clearly violating the deal and has thus rendered it a meaningless agreement.

But experts say this claim is not grounded in evidence and that Iran is meeting international standards in complying with the deal's requirements for inspections and monitoring.

Bolton's argument, they say, simply assumes that Iran has nefarious intentions to build nuclear weapons despite the absence of any proof.

And some analysts warn that his argument suffers from the same kind of war-hungry reasoning that led the US to invade Iraq on questionable evidence in 2003.

"There's a lot of talk of Iran's noncompliance with the deal, but there isn't a lot of evidence of Iran's noncompliance," Jeffrey Lewis, an arms control expert at Middlebury College's Monterey Institute of International Studies, said.

"That's sort of how Iraq happened, where the Bush administration said, 'Let's go find the evidence of weapons of mass destruction,' rather than asking, 'Does Iraq have weapons of mass destruction or not?'"

In 2015, the Obama administration and its allies struck the nuclear deal with Iran, which called for lifting western economic sanctions on Iran in exchange for Tehran curbing its nuclear program.

The accord helped cool rising tensions between the US and Iran, which could possibly have led to yet another US military intervention in the Middle East.

Tehran has already received tens of billions of dollars in sanctions relief in exchange for shipping out a large chunk of its enriched uranium and taking thousands of centrifuges offline.

In his memo, Bolton asserts that Iran's "outright violations" of the terms of the deal give the US license to scrap the deal and reimpose crippling economic sanctions on the country unilaterally.

But experts say there is no evidence of Iran refusing to comply with the deal.

"Washington's partners in the deal and the European Union have all clearly stated that Iran is complying with the deal, and more importantly, the US intelligence community is pointing to Iran's compliance with the agreement," said Kelsey Davenport, the director for nonproliferation policy at the Arms Control Association.

"Based on the evidence that's been presented to the intelligence community, it appears that Iran is in compliance with the rules that were laid out in the JCPOA," Air Force Gen. Paul Selva, the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told Congress in July.

In the runup to the invasion of Iraq, Bolton served as the undersecretary of state for arms control and international security in the Bush administration.

Both Davenport and Lewis point out that he was a key player in pushing for the war based on cherry-picked intelligence suggesting that Iraq's dictator Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction.

"Bolton was pretty central to that and he's replicating that experience," Lewis said.

 

 

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