European Corporate Losers in New Iran Sanctions Game

US President Donald Trump’s decision to pull the United States out of the 2015 nuclear accord with Iran and reimpose a raft of sanctions will hit European businesses working in Iran.

An AFP report has provided an overview of how firms stand to be affected when the sanctions kick in on Monday:

  Automotive 

French automakers Renault and PSA have taken different approaches publicly.

PSA, behind the Peugeot, Citroen and Opel brands, said in June it was preparing to suspend activities in the Islamic Republic, its chief foreign market by volume, noting those units account for “less than 1% of sales”.

The group, which is Europe’s second biggest carmaker, last year sold more than 445,000 vehicles in Iran, making the country one of its biggest markets outside France.

Renault says it intends to keep up activities in Iran albeit scaling them back. On July 16, the automaker announced a 10.3% drop in sales in Iran to 61,354 units.

Germany’s Daimler was teaming up with two Iranian firms to assemble Mercedes-Benz trucks.

Volkswagen also said last year it would seek to resume sales in Iran for the first time in 17 years, yet the scale of its US activities could force the jettisoning of those plans.

German firms’ business with Iran was a modest $2.6 billion of 2016 exports rising to $3 billion last year.

Italy is Iran’s main European trading partner, but Germany is still the bloc’s biggest exporter to Tehran.

  Aviation 

Aviation saw beefy contracts drawn up following the nuclear accord, as Iran targets modernization of an aging fleet.

Airbus booked deals for 100 jets although to date only three have been delivered after having US licenses bestowed upon them—a necessity given some parts are US-made.

The potential loss of business in Iran would not weigh heavily on Airbus, as overall orders on its books at the end of June stood at 7,168 planes.

  Oil 

French energy giant Total has moved away from a contract to develop an offshore gas field at South Pars in what would have been the first project of its kind since the 2015 nuclear deal.

Because Total’s investment in the field had barely just begun, the company is avoiding incurring significant losses on a $5 billion project that Iran says Chinese group CNPC will now take up.

After a 30% jump in 2016 in exports of Italian-made goods to Iran, Italian exports grew 12.5% last year to €1.7 billion, according to official data.

But energy giant Eni has held back on returning to Iran, preferring to wait on the impact of the latest sanctions.

Britain’s BP, which started life as the Anglo-Persian Oil Company, has no presence in Iran. Although Anglo-Dutch giant Royal Dutch Shell signed a deal in 2016 to explore possible investments it does not currently have any operations on the ground.

  Railroads and Shipbuilding 

Italy stands to lose out in these sectors with the national railroad operator Ferrovie dello Stato Italiano having signed a deal to build a high-speed line linking Qom to Arak in northern Iran.

Shipmaker Fincantieri, engineering firm Maire Tecnimont and gas boiler maker Immergas has also signed a string of deals with Iran which are also now threatened.

  Tourism 

British Airways and German carrier Lufthansa face having to stop only recently resumed direct flights to Tehran or face losing transatlantic business.

The dilemma applies to French hotel chain AccorHotels, which opened an establishment in Iran in 2015, as well as to Emirati group Rotana Hotels, which has designs on its own Iranian operation.

Spain’s Melia Hotels International chain, which signed a 2016 deal to run a five-star hotel in Iran, the Gran Melia Ghoo, says the establishment is under construction and that discussion of its future is “premature.”

  Industry

Siemens returned to Iran in 2016, seeking to sell gas turbines and generators for power stations and has won a contract to sell compressors for a natural gas processor.

“The mega contracts hoped for when sanctions were lifted were never realized,” KPMG advisor, Kaveh Taqizadeh, was recently quoted as saying in Stern magazine.

“Siemens will continue to ensure it remains in strict compliance with relevant international export control restrictions and all other applicable laws and regulations, including US secondary sanctions,” Siemens Spokesman Yashar Azad told AFP.

He added that Siemens “will take appropriate actions to align its business with the changing multilateral framework regarding Iran.”

French industrial gas group Air Liquide says it will “cease all commercial activity” in the country, although a spokesperson said the firm has “no investments” there.

  Pharmaceuticals and Banks

 Pharmaceutical giant Sanofi in Iran for over a decade remains operating “in full compliance with international regulations”, a spokesman said, while adding “it is still too early to comment on the potential impact” of sanctions. Germany’s big banks, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank, stayed clear of Iran after the US fined them hugely in 2015 for violating previous sanctions. Regional banks Helaba and DZ Bank pulled out of Iran after the US announced it was reimposing sanctions.