Iran and the United States are close to finalizing a deal on the release of Americans held in Tehran, Oman’s foreign minister told Al-Monitor.
Omani Foreign Minister Sayyid Badr Albusaidi said in an interview on Wednesday he senses “seriousness” on the part of both Washington and Tehran as their negotiators try to reach an agreement on the nuclear file. Eighteen months of on-and-off negotiations to revive the 2015 Iran nuclear deal had broken down in September.
At stake are the fates of Iranian-Americans Siamak Namazi, Emad Shargi and Morad Tahbaz, who are imprisoned in Tehran’s Evin Prison on espionage charges. The Biden administration is unlikely to reach any agreement on the nuclear issue without first securing their release, analysts cited by Al-Monitor said.
As part of a deal, Iran is seeking the release of billions of dollars in Iranian assets frozen in South Korean banks under US sanctions. A proposed mechanism would permit Iran to access those funds for humanitarian purposes. Third parties including Oman, Qatar and the United Kingdom have reportedly played a role in facilitating those discussions at various times.
“I can say they are close,” Albusaidi said of a potential prisoner agreement. “This is probably a question of technicalities.”
“They need to have a framework [and] a timeframe of how this should be orchestrated,” he said of the frozen funds. “I think they’re ironing those things out.”
Oman, which acted as a backchannel for the 2015 nuclear accord, has been a recent venue for indirect talks between US and Iranian officials, according to several sources with knowledge of the effort. On Monday, Iran’s Foreign Ministry confirmed reports that Muscat hosted the discussions, adding they “were not secret.”
Albusaidi did not confirm Oman’s involvement, but said his country has “offered in good faith our offices to help both sides, be it here or anywhere else.”
A State Department spokesperson told Al-Monitor that the US administration via regional channels is “concurrently urging Iran to take a de-escalatory path after several months of negative developments.”
Sufficient Momentum
Releasing the prisoners would be one such step. Ali Vaez, an Iran expert at the International Crisis Group who closely tracks the negotiations, said there is a clear linkage between the detainee negotiations and the broader context in which a deal can happen.
“The Omanis are trying to help the US and Iran figure out how they do a detainee deal in a context that is not as tense and unstable as it has been in the past,” Vaez said, adding there appears to be sufficient momentum for a prisoner deal in the next few weeks.
A European diplomat familiar with the talks also said a prisoner deal was “close”. Reached for comment, a spokesperson for the Iranian mission to the United Nations said, “This round of the prisoner exchange has been on the agenda for more than two years and we are now, more than ever, closer to reaching an agreement.”
Fueling the speculation is a flurry of diplomatic activity in recent weeks, including a meeting Monday in Abu Dhabi between Iran’s chief nuclear negotiator Ali Baqeri Khan and the political directors from the nuclear deal’s European signatories. Oman’s Sultan Haitham bin Tariq al-Said also visited the Iranian capital in late May, shortly after Tehran released Belgian aid worker Olivier Vandecasteele in a prisoner swap facilitated by Muscat. Days after the sultan’s visit, Iran released one Danish and two Austrian detainees in a deal Oman reportedly helped broker.
In what some saw as an effort to de-escalate tensions, the United States last week approved Iran’s accessing of roughly $2.7 billion in gas and electricity debt owed by Iraq. The State Department described the decision as a routine clearance “for humanitarian and other non-sanctionable transactions.”
Albusaidi said Wednesday there is a “positive atmosphere” surrounding the nuclear issue, adding that Muscat believes Tehran is serious about reaching an agreement.
“As long as the other side also reciprocates in good faith, they’re willing to do this,” he said.
