European stocks reversed early losses on Tuesday and yields on lower-rated eurozone bonds fell as investors reassessed the collapse of Greek debt talks and focused on the prospects of a deal.
The euro also recovered from early losses to rise against the dollar after Monday’s breakdown of talks between Greece and euro zone finance ministers. Initial declines on equity markets were modest, Reuters reported.
“For now, we assume that logic will prevail and this movie won’t end in disaster,” said Paul O’Connor, co-head of the multi-asset desk at Henderson Global Investors.
The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 equity index opened lower but was last up just under 0.1 percent.
Greek stocks underperformed. The volatile ATG main Athens share index was down 2.8 percent, after earlier dropping more than 4 percent and then briefly turning positive.
“The risk of a collapse is more elevated now because time is running out,” said Patrick Jacq, rate strategist at BNP Paribas. “This is putting Greek government bonds under pressure, but contagion effects will remain relatively limited ... Eventually a deal is likely to be reached.”
Yields on lower-rated euro zone debt edged lower, suggesting no fear of an imminent break-up of the bloc. Italian 10-year bonds IT10YT=TWEB yielded 1.62 percent, down 1.8 basis points.
Without support from creditors, the Greek government and banks face a funding crunch. That might lead to Greece’s becoming the first country to ditch the euro and re-introduce its own currency.
The MSCI all-country world stocks index .MIWD00000PUS was down 0.1 percent, after touching its highest since September on Monday.
Shares
Japan’s Nikkei share average and MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan both dipped 0.1 percent.
The euro traded weaker against the dollar in early European trade but later picked up to $1.1388, up 0.3 percent on the day but well shy of Monday’s high of $1.1429.
“The market has witnessed this before -- it remembers the brinkmanship during the Greek debt negotiations of 2011,” said Kyosuke Suzuki, director of forex at Societe Generale in Tokyo. “There are only nine trading days left until the Feb. 28 deadline, but some see that as enough time. Thus we are not seeing the euro sold in panic.”
In commodities markets, Brent crude LCOc1 extended its recent rally and last traded at $61.97 a barrel as the International Energy Agency warned of supply risks in the Middle East, although some analysts said that prices had risen too far from the six-year lows hit in January.
