When Britain voted to leave the European Union in June of this year, it took the world by surprise.
That marginal majority has been the topic of many a debate; around the future of Europe, its influence on recovering economies, and of course, the impact it will have on Ireland’s links with Britain, NewEurope reported.
Although figures collected by the Pew Research Center suggests that an overwhelming majority of EU citizens believe that Brexit will be a bad thing, when you delve a little deeper into their opinion of the EU, there is clear uncertainty around its future.
France
In many ways, France and Britain are very similar: both are involved in similar missions abroad, both are hugely influential in the EU, and both have a high number of Eurosceptic politicians.
Marine Le Pen, the leader of France’s far-right Front National party, has become even more vocal in her calls for a French referendum on EU membership–even more so now since the “promised apocalypse” that economists and politicians predicted as a result of Brexit, “has not come”.
Surveys conducted before the Brexit vote show that 52% of the French electorate are in favor of their country staying in the EU–so a referendum held on the subject would be close.
And with the country’s recent terrorist attacks and the current burkini debate, there is no doubt that immigration will be debated just as hotly as it was in the UK.
Sweden
“I see nothing negative about leaving this supranational European Union,” said Jimmie Akesson, leader of the anti-immigration Sweden Democrats.
Akesson has repeatedly called for Sweden to “become a sovereign state again” by leaving the EU, and although the majority of his party seem to show a preference of keeping its ties with Europe, this could change if the EU were to impose any new regulations that didn’t agree with the Sweden Democrats’ way of thinking.
Netherlands
As with Le Pen, there has been a huge surge in support for the far-right Dutch populist Geert Wilders and the Dutch Party for Freedom, which he founded and leads.
In a recent interview with Spiegel, Wilders said that the main reason for leaving the EU would be autonomy.
“We’d finally get our national sovereignty back, as well as our autonomy in matters of monetary and immigration policy–just like Switzerland. That’s my favorite example: a country in the heart of Europe, that even has individual trade agreements with China and Japan.” The British too–Germany’s third-largest trading partner–will reach an agreement with the EU. A poll carried out in May of this year by the Ipsos foundation found a narrow majority of the Dutch do not want the Netherlands to hold a referendum on EU membership. It also showed that if there is a vote, 64% would vote against leaving the EU.
But as the British economy evens out after Brexit, the tide may change in favor of a vote to leave.
